Showing posts with label banking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label banking. Show all posts

Friday, August 24, 2012

The Hazardous Morals of Bankers

Warning: You must forgive the writer for the exceptional length of this piece as a combination of rust that accumulated over months away from writing, a little too much time on his hands and what is feared to be the initial stages of ambiguphobia all contributed to the problem. 
- ed.

US federal debt will be more than $16 trillion by the time you read this. Student loan debt in the land of the free surpassed both credit card debt and the $trillion mark earlier this year. Greece teeters on the brink of bankruptcy while the other PIIGS wait their turn in the slaughterhouse. Three cities in California declared bankruptcy within a month this summer while nations have given up their sovereignty in order to avoid the same fate. Tens of millions have been thrown out of their homes in the past four years while even the Catholic Church battles to remain solvent. All of this was kicked off with the collapse of Lehmann Brothers four years ago triggering a crisis which forced governments and central banks around the world to pour trillions of dollars of bailouts into the financial system in order to stave off financial collapse and the threatened panic, chaos and disaster sure to follow. So, why are we here four years later staring over the US fiscal cliff, waiting for the eurozone to collapse and watching local sheriffs play the muscle for the mafioso banks repossessing all our neighbours possessions? The same reason the crisis seems perpetual. Debt and it's collector, moral hazard.

You have to choose between trusting to the natural stability of gold and the natural stability of the honesty and intelligence of the members of the Government. And, with due respect for these gentlemen, I advise you, as long as the Capitalist system lasts, to vote for gold.”
 - George Bernard Shaw

Like all good yarns, that of debt goes way back in time, before money, before barter, beginning with the Sumerians in Mesopotamia over 5000 years ago in fact, but we don't need to go back that far. No, forty-one years is enough for our purposes, when Richard Nixon ended the post war Bretton Woods International Monetary system by suspending the convertibility of the dollar into gold (then $35 to the ounce, today around $1600) on August 15th, 1971, effectively creating the current floating currency regimes: fiat money. No longer would the US dollar be convertible to gold; no longer would money creation and thus finance be constrained. Not only was the US fighting a war in Vietnam that had to be paid for but they were battling "international money speculators" as Tricky Dick dubbed them. Heck watch for yourself:



So it was that the casino known as the financialization of capital was built, in order to protect the average worker "because they [financial speculators] thrive on crisis, they help to create them". By no means was this the first time the world had used virtual money with nothing guaranteeing its value but our faith. According to David Graeber, there have been two such previous periods in the history of money and debt: The Age of the First Agrarian Empires (3500–800 BCE) and The Middle Ages (600 CE — 1500 CE). The key difference with today was that both those eras saw strong institutions and traditions which placed controls on the potentially catastrophic social consequences of debt from Mosaic jubilees (debt forgiveness every 50 years) to Christian and Muslim prohibitions on usury. Fast forward in time to go backward as the current era has seen protection turned on its head creating the first effective planetary debt enforcement system, operating through the IMF, World Bank, governments, corporations and other financial institutions. In the past we protected debtors; today we protect the interest(s) of creditors. Spot the doublethink involved here as the danger posed by financial speculators led to a policy which in turn empowered the threat leading to it's perpetuation becoming a necessity to maintain the status quo. The battle against the money speculators has been fought just like the war on terror.

Nixon's move had predictable results, a series of crises as wave after wave of speculation, manipulation and deregulation smashed against the economy. Predictably, with no physical limit to fiscal and monetary expansion, government debts ballooned leading to inflation which needed 22% interest rates to tame causing economic malaise that necessitated tax cuts (mostly for corporations and the rich) and deregulation to get the economy going again. The balance of power between rentiers and workers was shifted by slashing capital gains and opening investment loopholes so that in less than a generation the very group we had been warned about had been handed the keys to the Porsche and proceeded to drive us all over the edge. The process seemed almost planned, conspiratorial, but it was our own hubris that allowed it.

"There are compelling reasons for paying attention to this potential for catastrophe as, every debt crisis in history since Solon of Athens has ended in inflation, bankruptcy or war, and there is no cause to believe we’ve solved this one, even if it has been postponed." - Susan George; Fate Worse Than Debt, p. 196

The Cliff's Notes to the crisis reads like a tragedy. Steady erosion of the competitive advantage enjoyed by the US after WWII and the west as a whole to the east leads to policies which ensured wage stagnation for those working in industries losing employment and skyrocketing renumeration for the CEO's outsourcing those jobs and the financial industry which facilitates it. This creates a feedback loop in which those at the top enjoy more influence on legislation thanks to their enhanced financial position. Those at the bottom, seeing themselves falling further behind turn to debt in order to maintain the illusion of keeping up with the Joneses. Check out this interactive chart to see the machine in action. Meanwhile, the flood of money to the top leads to fewer and fewer available investment alternatives necessitating looser regulation on credit to lend to less and less credit worthy clients through the creation of creative, near magical, financial instruments. All the while, the growing inequality brought about by transferring wealth to the top slowly strangles the consumer driven economy (about 70%) as those who would spend have less while those who invest, at home or abroad, have more. A little more doublethink courtesy of trickle-down economics.

On the government side, though Reagan talked a fiscally conservative game, he walked a public spending splurge as debt tripled under his watch. Bush the elder didn't do much better and though Clinton managed to run a couple of surpluses late in his second term, Dubya and Congress managed to pass two successive $trillion plus tax cuts while fighting two separate $trillion plus wars along with passing a $trillion plus prescription drug plan. The Anglo-Saxon affinity saw the UK walking in near lockstep; just replace Reagan with Thatcher and Clinton with Blair at the head of the parade through the Corporation of the City of London instead of Wall Street. The financial sectors share of domestic US profits skyrocketed from below 16% to 41% making bankers more important than ever. The partial repeal of Glass Steagall, allowing banks to gamble grandma's pension with the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (also known as the Financial Services Modernization Act) and the Commodity Futures Modernization Act which ensured that the credit default swaps and collateralised debt obligations at the heart of the 2007/8 crisis wouldn't be regulated were the finishing touches as the banksters had merged with government and rigged the economy for explosion.

The story that unfolded in continental Europe was somewhat different but had the same result. Overnight, countries such as Ireland, Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy were expected to transform into Germany. Shockingly, it didn't happen and without their own currencies to debase in order to regain competitiveness, the peripheral, low-capital investment economies were crippled while German producers were given a boost. Not only did prices go up - in Spain a loaf of bread doubled in four years - but salaries stayed about the same, rising 14% in the ten years from the introduction of the euro January 1st, 2002 to the end of 2011. Throw in the additional enticement of suddenly being deemed nearly as credit worthy as their northern partners and you've got yourself the perfect debt bomb recipe. The explosion of Benzes, Beemers and Audis on the streets of Madrid and Dublin created a surplus that found its way back to German banks who had to lend this money to someone and were happy to find eurozone approved customers from Porto to Thessaloniki to buy more German cars or real estate developers to build beach resorts to take vacations in. Each country took their own path to purgatory, in Spain and Ireland it was more private bank debt while in Greece and Portugal it was more public (and Italy, well, they've always had too much debt).

As we know, our story doesn't end well, in fact, there doesn't seem to be an end as it's starting to feel like the neverending story. The total cost is incalculable  in dollars, euros or pounds, but it's the human cost that should remind us that economies are meant to serve people and not the other way around. When the crisis hit, we were told we had to bailout the banks or the world would end, so we did. Ever since it became clear that Greece wasn't going to be able to maintain its debt, the troika always manages to get the money to Athens on time. When the Irish banks couldn't keep afloat, their government threw them a lifeline and guaranteed their debt. Spanish banks were going under so once again the troika (IMF/ECB/European Commission) saved the day. Trillions of paper dollars, pounds and euros all to ensure the debt obligations continue to be paid, trillions the people will have to pay back. For what? The sums will never be paid off, everything has been done to keep interest payments flowing to the banks and to give them enough time to get their capital out. The price of paying off failed bankster bets is not only the sweat of our brows but becomes ever more demanding, framed in the Orwellian language of fiscal austerity/consolidation, structural adjustment/reform, labour flexibility, competitiveness, and growth.

In the 70's and 80's the IMF/World Bank became despised figures in the developing world. As global capital sought higher returns than could be found in the developed west, their sites settled on the poorer resource-rich nations of the south and east where they found dictators, anti-commie generals and corrupt legislators willing to sign over their people's futures in exchange for ready cash to build vanity projects, fund coups, suppress insurrections or simply pad their Swiss bank accounts. When the people of their nations found they couldn't pay, the men in black would arrive, preaching the 'free market' mantra of globalization, structural adjustment programs, which always had the effect of worsening life for the people while benefiting the foreign corporations. Eventually, the anti-globalization movement and debt cancellation voices became loud enough and democracy returned to many places and debt was in some cases even forgiven. The first part of the story is now playing itself out in the 'developed' world except this time the countries aren't even getting a hydroelectric dam, bombs or a statue in return. Debt is granted only to maintain existing debt in exchange for lowering spending on those things that help the people, shredding the social safety net, firing workers, lowering tariffs and taxes and eliminating workers rights in a duplicitous attempt to make the economy more competitive in order to grow and pay off the increased debt load. Unfortunately it has never worked, isn't working and never will. The only winner, for awhile at least, are the banks to whom the interest keeps flowing.

Ironically, many accept this punishment as atonement, self-flagellation to purify the soul. Debts are contracts that must be paid off, more than an obligation, as the threat of moral hazard would not only destroy our financial system but lead to anarchy (gasp!). Yet bank bailouts are a perfect example of moral hazard as the banksters have now learned that they will not pay the costs of their losses; their gains remain privatized while their losses are socialized. Morality should be the last thing they want to talk about as their lascivious behaviour has been highlighted this summer with a series of scandals that illustrate they have no intention of ever doing the right thing whenever there's a whiff of profit to be had. If they don't get caught, great, if they do, well, there will be newspaper headlines, an investigation and finally, at worst, a fine to pay, usually a fraction of what the illegal behaviour gained. Somehow, even though both Mitt Romney and the US Supreme Court have defined corporations as people, not only are the big banks Too Big To Fail, they've become Too Big To Jail (TBTF/J).

"Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice is capable of being reduced to strict rules. To depart upon any occasion from these rules, in consequence of some flattering speculation of extraordinary gain, is almost always extremely dangerous, and frequently fatal to the banking company which attempts it." Adam Smith; The Wealth of Nations, Book V, Chapter I, Part III, p.820

This summer has put the lie to Adam's words once and for all. Most recently it was Britain's Standard Chartered, who NY state regulators accused of hiding $250 billion of transactions with Iran despite sanctions. A person would be charged with terrorism and sent to Guantanamo, a bank simply pays a $340 million fine; it's up to the families of those killed in terrorist attacks facilitated by StanChar to sue the bank. The reaction of the British government was particularly instructive; when a British bank is threatened with the loss of its New York banking license, officials, from the mayor of London to the Bank of England governor to the Chancellor of the Exchequer rush to its defense. This, from the same country that would and has done everything in its power to get Julian Assange extradited to the US for torture and possible execution and done nothing to prevent its own citizen, Gary MacKinnon, who suffers from Asperger's syndrome, from being extradited to the US for exposing weaknesses in the defense department's computer security systems.

Just a few week before that came the revelations of the LIBOR rigging scandal. A story that is 'too complicated' to understand by the public was therefore ignored by the media. Besides, there was that whole Batman shooting and then the Olympics to worry about. Denver theater body counts and jingoistic medal counts are far more interesting than a bunch of bankers sending each other emails, right? Well, no, not really when mass shootings seem to have become monthly occurrences in the US (surprise! another one today), the Olympic medal count can be predicted based on population, per capita GDP, past performance, and host status while the bankster collusion earned them hundreds of billions (trillions?) in profits while costing the public an impossible to figure, er, figure. Wait, sounds a bit like the Olympics. Anyway, as usual it's not all that complicated.

LIBOR stands for the London Inter Bank Offered Rates and it's used in the setting of most other kinds of interest in the world, from credit cards, student loans and mortgages to the cost of government bonds. Seeing as we live in a 'free market', up until the scandal we all assumed this rate was set by the 'laws' of supply and demand but, as usual, our naivety cost us and profited them. Instead, the most important rate in the world is determined every morning by representatives of the 18 largest western banks who report on what they expect to pay to borrow funds from each other (Inter Bank) in the future. Under LIBOR rules, the four highest and four lowest estimates are eliminated, and the average of the rest becomes the official rate. Well, shockingly, banksters used this opportunity to artificially set rates everyday a bit higher or lower in order to profit from the positions they held in their portfolios. Barclays had their boss Bob Diamond resign and was fined £290 million by British authorities, who were involved in the racket, while seven banks including Barclays have been subpoenaed in the States. A few Italian families get together and we call them the mafia and charge them with racketeering but when banks do it we call it cooperation. It will take years of litigation to sort it all out but you can be assured, a few banks will have to pay a fraction of the profits earned in the scam.

Speaking of the mafia, seeing as interest rates aren't spicy enough to make headlines, the other summer scandal involved just that, Mexican drug lords who line headless bodies on highways. Once again the contrast between the justice meted out to the flesh and blood people and the corporate people is illuminating. A real person gets caught selling dime bags on the street corner trying to raise money to go to college, we go to jail for life; they get caught laundering the money from the profits earned on those bags, they say they're sorry and get a slap on the wrist. Europe's largest bank, HSBC, not only transported billions of dollars of cash in armoured vehicles, cleared suspicious travellers' cheques worth billions, and allowed Mexican drug lords to buy planes with money laundered through Cayman Islands accounts, they also moved money from Iran, Syria and other countries on US sanctions lists, helped a Saudi bank linked to al-Qaida shift money to the US and even cleared $290 million in "obviously suspicious travelers cheques" that benefitted Russians "who claimed to be in the used car business." Lucky we only have to worry about Iranian-American used car salesmen hiring Mexican drug lords to assassinate the Saudi ambassador or this might sound like a conspiracy theory. Yep, all this was part of a report by a US senate committee which revealed HSBC failed to monitor $60 trillion in wire transfer and account activity, had a backlog of 17,000 unreviewed account alerts regarding potentially suspicious activity, and failed to conduct anti-money laundering due diligence before opening accounts for HSBC affiliates.

Each time new revelations come to light, bank executives line up to testify in front of an important sounding committee and explain how they are "horrified" by what has happened, that they couldn't have foreseen events, that measures have been put in place, that it was bad luck or a black swan or a rogue trader. Then it happens again. Just this spring, the last remaining 'good banker', Jamie Dimon had his bank JP Morgan victimized by one of those rogues as "the London whale" lost a bet on a position that could cost his bank $9 billion. Just the kind of gamble we were promised these banks would no longer make in exchange for bailing them out just four years ago. Just the kind that lost UBS $2 billion last September, Societe Generale $6 billion in January 2008, or Barings Bank $1.3 billion in 1995. Our always vigilant press is always sure to name them rogues, despite being the norm, performing unauthorized trades and justice is swiftly served on these lone scoundrels while pensioners and savers pay the price and the banks continue to promote the culture of short term profits in which psychopaths thrive, to inflate their quarterly earnings. Had enough yet? There's always the fattening of the PIIGS, the Magnetar trade, the Sentinel fraud, any of these, or ...

If these were people, as corporations such as banks have supposedly become, we'd execute, jail or banish them from our communities so how do you explain the social pressure to repay criminal enterprises that are slowly sucking the life from our economic system? In order to succeed in society, few would disagree that a university or college education is a prerequisite. Such a degree costs tens of thousands of dollars or pounds obliging many to take out student loans which become payable upon completion of their studies. In America, if you decide to head to Vegas and max out your credit card on hookers, blow and roulette only to find yourself unable to pay, one option is to declare bankruptcy, ruining your chances to obtain credit but clearing the debt off the books just as the hangover clears after a good, greasy breakfast. If you find yourself without a job (or only part-time or unpaid internship) once you finish school and unable to pay back a student loan, you don't have the bankruptcy option, it can't be cleared and will be with you until death or its paid. Heaven forbid if you're among the 25% of Americans without health coverage and you or a family member fall ill, the cost of which forces many into a debt spiral. This is nothing if not slavery. Even if you're a good client and you pay your debts, or the debts of your nation through your taxes, you are forced to work in order to earn the income. What else is forced labour but slavery?

Funny that we (or at least the Sumerians) had this all figured out 5000 years ago. Even then they recognized the need to protect those forced into debt from unforeseeable circumstances or the avaricious. Interest rates also seem to have first appeared in Sumer where most transactions were conducted on credit. Years with bad harvests resulted in peasants hopelessly indebted to the rich, forced to surrender their farms and, ultimately, family members, in debt bondage. Inevitably this would lead to a social crisis in which the masses were enslaved to the few. It soon became traditional for each new ruler to wipe the slate clean, cancel all debts, and declare a general amnesty or 'freedom', so that all bonded labourers could return to their families. Significantly, the first word for 'freedom' known in any human language, the Sumerian amarga, literally means 'return to mother' while in Sanskrit, Hebrew and Aramaic, debt, guilt, and sin are actually the same word. Julius Caesar became the hero of the Plebs, and was ultimately killed by the nobles, for introducing debt forgiveness schemes after he took power from the corrupt patrician oligarchy. Solon laid the foundation for Athenian democracy by "shaking off the burdens" of enslaving debt. Biblical prophets instituted a similar custom, the Jubilee, whereby after seven years all debts were similarly cancelled, the direct ancestor of the New Testament notion of ‘redemption’. Through some historical error, we inherited the institutions of lending at interest without the original checks and balances.

Instead, we live in a world where banks are bailed out while people are sold out. In which lenders making up details on credit applications became such a common practice it became known as liar loans but debtors get sent to jail for 30 years for lying on the same forms. It was after all many of those liar loans that were slapped together, sliced, diced and bundled into the CDO's that helped cause the crisis, but no one needs to be jailed for that. It's only those uncivilized countries that obviously need a good bombing where bankers are actually punished for fraud. Tax evasion is only for the rich and corporation kind of people not the 99%. It's jail for you or me if you screw the IRS but if you're HSBC or Credit Suisse, you just cut a deal in which you hand over email and telephone records of your staff to the US Department of Justice. Stealing from your clients is frowned upon unless your MF Global, an investment company run by the former governor of New Jersey Jon Corzine, then of course it's okay. It's usually fraud if I sell you something that I know is going to blow up, but if you're Goldman Sachs, where your clients are referred to as muppets, well, it's fine to sell your clients investment products that your bank is offloading as fast as possible on the open market because you know they're about to explode, even when there's emails to prove it.

It doesn't seem like banks have morals and they definitely don't learn their lesson from the punishments they receive. Bank of America’s securities unit has agreed four times since 2005 not to violate a major antifraud statute, and another four times not to violate a separate law. Merrill Lynch, which Bank of America acquired in 2008, has separately agreed not to violate the same two statutes seven times since 1999. They're just doing cost-benefit analysis, where their benefits are our costs as when Morgan Stanley entered into a complex swap agreement with the New York electricity provider KeySpan in 2006 that gave it a stake in the profits of a competitor enabling the two companies to push up the price of electricity. Price fixing is illegal, so Morgan Stanley had to pay a fine of $4.8 million for enabling it, but they got to keep the $21.6 million they made for handling the swap and didn't have to admit any wrongdoing. The cost to New Yorkers in higher utility bills? $300 million. Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase came out smelling like roses converting human shit into billions of dollars in profits by financing a new sewer treatment plant for the people of Jefferson County. The people didn't come out smelling so pretty though as the financing cost forced them into the biggest municipality bankruptcy in US history. The same thinking probably went into Wells Fargo's alleged decision to fire an employee three days before his daughter was scheduled for surgery in order to avoid paying the bill. No cash, no cure for cancer as the hospital cancelled the surgery and the child was left to die.

What of finances role of market maker and facilitating transactions for investors and consumers, surely we owe them something for that? Well, thanks to the deregulation of the agricultural commodity market in 2000 Goldman Sachs earned £600m from food speculation in 2009 alone. While the bank's profits were boosted, the numbers dependent on food banks and aid were exacerbated thanks in part to the banksters. No one disagrees that their gambling pushes up prices, the only question is how much relative to other factors such as biofuels, changing consumption patterns and drought. The poor are disproportionately affected by a rise in food prices as they spend a higher percentage of their income for the basics, just as they do for debt. If you use anything made of plastic, drive a car or heat your home, you should know oil speculation adds $23.39 to the price of a barrel (around a quarter) which translates to about an 83-cent-per-gallon of gas premium and costing an average American family $82/month. And people we're angry when Bank of America introduced a $5/month debit card fee!?! Seems these financial behemoths need the cash though as they need to keep up with their competitors in the new world of flash trading. By spending billions on faster cables they can shave microseconds off the latency, or trading execution time, thus allowing themselves to peek at the orders of other traders before they're made. Not only does this destroy the idea of investing, especially by us flesh and blooders, but it opens up the markets to one of the newest perils, the flash crash. Hooray, more risk!

Perusing the comments under any number of stories of payday loan companies charging four to 5000% interest, distraught families being tossed on the street or students in the streets protesting their debt enslavement, one can always be sure to find defenders of the faith of finance. These moralizers are quick to point out that no one forces people to sign on the dotted line but never take into account the asymmetry of information and power between the parties or the corrupting influence of living in a society built on sating our short term desires no matter the cost. The tired refrain of taxation and representation is trotted out to rationalize paying the debts of our governments but loses all meaning when put in the context of the options faced by voters today: Bad or Worse, Red or Blue, vote wrong and it's a redo, either/or results in another IOU as the need for money to get elected forces politicians to prostate themselves before the FIRE (finance, insurance and real estate, one for all and all for one thanks to deregulation). Insisting people today make rational economic decisions seems ludicrous while our educational system is being sold off to the lowest bidder and converted into a propaganda factory where standardized test scores are more important than critical thinking. Arguing we have a choice when the information we receive is nothing but a toxic mix of cognition clogging updates in our Twitooglebook universe alongside stories from a media controlled by six corporations (down from 50 in 1983) offering 2,000 channels with the same message while selling an illusion of choice barraging us with a constant stream of crisis reports, crisis summits and near-crisis averted but never connecting the dots.

"When national debts have once been accumulated to a certain degree, there is scarce, I believe, a single instance of their having been fairly and completely paid. The liberation of the public revenue, if it has ever been brought about at all, has always been brought about by bankruptcy; sometimes by an avowed one, but always by a real one, though frequently by a pretend payment." - Adam Smith; The Wealth of Nations, Book V, Chapter III, Part V, p. 481

To review. Forty years ago we entered a new era of fiat currency which untethered money and thus debt from any constraints in order to protect ourselves from "money speculators". The US in particular experienced a long economic boom for the wealthy with stagnation and even decline for the rest as taxes for the rich and corporations were cut, unions were gutted and jobs were outsourced. In the past 30 years, 96% of the growth of average incomes have gone to the richest 10% and in the past 10 years, the incomes of the other 90% have declined. In Europe, a new currency was introduced with supposed magical powers to turn the likes of Greece into Germany but only had the effect of causing them to diverge. On both sides of the Atlantic, the shortfall of the poor, the middle class and their governments was made up by increased borrowing. The "money speculators", whose ingenuity was unleashed by the deregulation that regulatory capture bought them, were more than happy to find more and more creative ways to eliminate risk and earn huge rewards. When the ponzi scheme faltered, we were told there was no alternative to saving the banks, transferring trillions from public hands to private with no consequences and next to no oversight. With nothing fixed and no lesson having been learned, the banks emerged bigger and more powerful than ever with the knowledge they can act with impunity while the public from Madrid to Manchester to Miami are forced to accept ever more stringent austerity measures in exchange for ever larger bailouts which continue right under our noses.

Oh, it continues. TARP was just the beginning of bank bailouts as the program has continued in stealth and shows no sign of being abandoned therefore changing the game is the new moral imperative and sustaining it a sin. Language is their most effective ruse, twisting meanings and changing expressions. Quantitative easing in the US and UK is nothing more than printing money electronically and using it to overpay banks for their financial assets or by lending to them on the cheap, minimizing their borrowing costs and lowering their reserve requirements in the hopes they will lend that money on to the real economy. Of course they don't, they just buy more bonds (gilts in the UK) to earn a risk free return (as long as the merry-go-round continues) and wait for the next round of easing (QE3 is rumored for a fall sailing). All this goes to pad the bottom line which they need to perpetually improve to keep increasing CEO salaries, keep the stock market happy and of course, give idiots like this something to babble about incoherently.



European sensibilities were a bit too sensitive for such blatant Zimbabwe/Weimar Republic-like behavior (at least until recently when they just up and gave Spanish banks €100 billion that the people will have to pay back), so the ECB basically did the same thing but called it LTRO, Long Term Refinancing Operation. Prohibited from giving money directly to countries, the ECB printing press is used to give money to banks ostensibly to buy bonds from countries having problems selling them (ie. Greece et al). More free money for the banks if the game continues as they can either put the cash into the riskier bonds at higher rates or play it safe and deposit it back at the ECB. Other Newspeak candidates include 'Growth friendly' policies, those which hand more power to foreign corporation and banks to continue their plunder while David Cameron's 'expansionary austerity' is more Orwellian than his Big Society and has driven the UK into a 'surprise' double-dip recession. Confused? Yep, you're meant to be, otherwise you'd wonder why they don't just give the money directly to the people instead of banks while artificially maintaining low interest rates in order to force the elderly to eat cat food or starve.

"And Jesus went into the temple of God, and cast out all them that sold and bought in the temple, and overthrew the tables of the moneychangers, and the seats of them that sold doves" - Matthew 21:12

Just this past week US VP Joe Biden got in a little hot water for telling a half-truth:



People (well, right-wingnuts) went, well, nuts, as they tried to turn his words into an insensitive race play. The mistake he made though is that we're already in chains, slaves to greedy, immoral (amoral?), psychopathic bankers. It wouldn't be so bad if we at least we're being driven for a monumental purpose, I dunno, like building pyramids, the US capitol or White House instead of facilitating the worship of the Golden Calf. Up til now we've been complicit in their shakedown where debt is a sacred obligation only if it is owed by the poor and vulnerable to the rich and powerful who have used their gains to purchase political power or hidden them away in the Caymans. Yet debt is always negotiable or can even be written off when it's the other way around ensuring the wealth keeps flowing upwards. The growth in inequality seen before the crisis has been put on steroids since the bailout with more than 90% of the gains going exclusively to the richest 1% causing the middle class to slowly disappear and poverty to explode while Paul Ryan argues to cut their support. Regardless, much of the rabble will rally to the Romney/Ryan call to extend the Bush tax cuts and further cut taxes on the rich while making the rest pay for it. We used to ask "What's the Matter With Kansas?" but we need to ask "what's the matter with us?" today for doing nothing as the air raid sirens are sounding the next attack.



Alone, none of us can destroy the false idol of greed, there's no Moses amongst us, the only way is if enough people act together. Think and buy locally, plant a garden, ride your bike, vote for alternative parties and take your money out of the TBTF/J  banks (US, UK, Facebook) and put it in a credit union that puts profits back into communities are all simple ways to start. The more ambitious can talk to and teach others, join a protest, or even try to get out of the fiat economy altogether by investing in physical gold, silver or other metals. Of course if you're worried about all that extra weight in your pockets try using the alternative, electronic, secure Bitcoin currency. Finally, we have to shed the holier-than-thou shackles placed on us by those that would call people who walk away from underwater homes deadbeats, graduates unable to make their student loan payments slackers and governments tricked into a debt trap unable to meet their debt obligations lazy while bailed out banks behave beligerently, 'good' governments gut the promised social welfare state and corporations renege on obligations and commitments made to provide health care, pensions and other benefits to workers. The parasites may seem to have the power, they may have won the previous battles, but we, as flesh and blood people, have the real power, it's time to Strike Debt, stop paying what is no longer morally owed, a debt strike to stop the bankster shock doctrine takeover.

Saturday, November 27, 2010

Lepre-conned

It's somehow fitting that the €600 million giant glass and steel new airport terminal in Dublin opened on the very day the army of technocrats sent by the IMF and EU arrived to take over Ireland. A white elephant to symbolize how quickly a Celtic Tiger can be transformed into one of the PIIGS. Floating in and out of the international news stream I keep seeing the financial world in terms of a dystopian fairy tale where the bad guys always come out winners while the public is left to pick up the tab and we never seem to learn the moral. The Big Bad Wolf outwitted the littlest of the pigs earlier this year which forced the rest to scurry to a house made of wood while the Greek straw hut went up in flames. This week saw Ireland give up its wooden shack offered by the nationalization of her banks' debt as the growing storm forced her to surrender independence to Mother Europa and her IMF advisers. In Europe it's two PIIGS down and three to go, Portugal, Spain and Italy, meanwhile much of the western world is also looking for a brick house to give us shelter from the storm.

Ireland's path to financial purgatory has been predictable. Greece's problems came from many sources, rapacious banks taking advantage of financial rubes, politicians on the take and of course the MSM's favourite scapegoat, the lazy, sponging, early-retiring, Greek workers. Ireland's problems stem from one source - greed. Both the banks and the public were caught up in a collective euphoria brought on by the belief that shiny new buildings and playthings meant perpetual growth and wealth for all. A pot o' gold at the end of every rainbow. Ireland became an economic success story between 1994 and 2007 as GDP growth regularly touched 10% a year with the boom ascribed to reasons as varied as the success of U2 to the legalization of contraceptive sales in 1979. More prosaically, economists generally credited the rise of the Celtic Tiger to a combination of EU development funds and low corporate taxes with a global shift to a knowledge-based economy for which the Irish education system was ready to provide the skilled workforce all at a time of strong global expansion. The sudden success soon turned to hubris; while the main proponents of unconstrained financial globalization may have been American, it was Irish (as well as other European) banks that really became too large relative to their economies, taking risks that paid off big in boom times but exploded in their faces when the rainbow faded. As long as new Starbucks were being opened on Dublin's Grafton Street, it didn't seem to worry anyone that it had become the fifth most expensive street in the world.

When the inevitable financial crash came a couple years ago, it was the Irish who unsurprisingly woke up with the biggest hangover as they had partied harder than everyone else. Seems even property prices have to follow the laws of gravity and unfortunately the country had staked its future on Newton being wrong. In a decade, housing prices quadrupled making for a painful drop. Compounding matters, like many governments around the world, the decision was made to save the banks at the expense of the country, by guaranteeing the Irish banks' debt for two years. An excuse could be made acting as they did in the midst of a crisis, but extending the guarantee to the end of the year in September was inexcusable. The government gambled that the credit market somehow hadn't noticed that the six debt-guaranteed banks (Anglo Irish Bank, Allied Irish Banks, Bank of Ireland, Irish Life and Permanent, Irish Nationwide and EBS) had been hemorrhaging billions of euros a month and lost the bet. If it were only the Irish with anything to lose, the EU and the world may have stood by and watched the stuck pig bleed herself to death, however, not only do foreign banks have a huge stake in Irish debt, the remaining PIIGS financing costs are also tethered to Ireland's woes.

And so it was that Irish sovereignty was traded for another shot at providing bankster security. Even though the government was fully funded until the middle of next year, bondholders of Irish banks realized their security window could close anytime after the new year and therefore began a vicious attack on Irish bonds, bidding up the spreads versus German rates, stoking fears in the credit market. The tragicomedy was scripted from the moment the EU bailout fund was created after the Greeks ceded their sovereignty earlier this year. Ireland following suit was a self-fulfilling prophecy - when was the last time that available credit wasn't used? Those squeals of protest that a bailout wasn't needed we heard from the Irish Prime Minister, or Taoiseach, Brian Cowen, were drowned out in the media by those who insisted it was needed in order to maintain confidence in the debt market. Somehow it passed as normal that a country can be forced to take a bailout to pay the debts of profligate banks. Ireland had to be convinced they needed help but families trying to feed their kids wouldn't need much arm twisting. Instead, welfare will be slashed, public health services will deteriorate, children, the disabled and the elderly will lose the already inadequate services that afford them some hope and dignity. But the €100 billion that is owed by the Irish to German banks and the €109 billion owed to British banks will be secured.

Instead of the banks borrowing money from the European Central Bank at one per cent interest to fund their operations, the Irish public will borrow it for them at perhaps five per cent. The banks and their corporatist enablers have done a masterful job, not of banking, but of keeping the public confused and therefore impotent to do anything. The possibility of senior bondholders actually sharing in some of the cost of the bailouts by taking a haircut isn't even mentioned, funny, seeing as default risk is priced into the cost of debt for the borrower. No, the lenders are allowed to keep any profits they got from taking too much risk but are exempt from taking any losses when they actually occur. Such a situation creates moral hazard where financial institutions seeking to increase profit simply turn up the risk knowing full well that if their bets go sour, governments will step in and save them. Private gains and socialized losses, but, only for the banks. Now that's capitalism!

More than two years into the financial crisis and were still uncovering the filth and rot at the core of the world's financial system. The Irish case may be magnified in scale relative to its population but those that caused their banking collapse have doppelgangers all over the world and none of them will ever feel an ounce of guilt for what they've done. The names and acronyms of destruction may change but it's those in the know, on the take or at the table who are able to feed at the trough of asset bubbles created and fed by the banks who the public will be paying to support for years, as much as €200 billion in Ireland alone with a population of 4.5 million (and shrinking again) - €44,444.44 a head! This mass delusion was enabled by a culture of greed and avarice which glorifies the rich regardless of their social cost. Most of those who gorged themselves walk the streets free, able to enjoy the fruits of their deception. Bernie Madoff was no worse than Seán Quinn who built a pyramid scheme of CFDs which allowed him to control 25% of Anglo-Irish Bank only to see it inevitably collapse when the stock price went south. ASIC, the Australian SEC, describes CFDs, or contracts for difference, as "much riskier than a flutter on the horses or a night at the casino" much like psychopaths who recognize no limits and ignore the damage they do to others; CFDs continue to be traded and psychopaths continue to walk the streets and run our most powerful and influential institutions.

Seán FitzPatrick, former chairman of Anglo-Irish, a man who hid hundreds of millions in loans to himself, oversaw the bank which established a precedent of reckless lending the other banks were forced to follow in order to keep pace so as not to lose market share and thus see their stock price plummet. Ah, the irony. No longer seeing themselves as bankers but risk seeking entrepreneurs, in their eagerness to woo property syndicates the banks became both the lenders of equity and providers of debt in the same deals, resulting in absurd loan to value exposure of up to 100%. Even once it was clear the game was up and the government had stepped in to save them, the banks continued to deceive everyone around them hoping to continue the party a little longer. A stream of false information has been fed to the very entity created to take the non-performing loans off the banks' hands, NAMA, meaning the extent of damage the banks have done may take years to figure out. The incestuous relationship between banksters and government is most blatant in the US but Ireland has its own government protected "Golden Circle" who will escape punishment as the details of their deception are impenetrable to the normal person and so will become fodder for legend and lore, circular transactions being better than fairy tales at putting the public to sleep.

So, once again, who cares? When Greece was taken over six month ago at least it made the cover of the newspapers. This time, unless you were paying attention, you might not have even noticed that Ireland is now being run by EU and IMF bureaucrats. Trouble is we should care, but can't seem to bother. Even if someone does dare to bother, here's what we supposedly know: Ireland is not Greece and Greece is not Ireland, Spain is not Greece and of course Portugal is not Greece, and obviously Spain is neither Ireland nor Portugal so it follows that Neither Spain nor Portugal is Ireland. Thanks, but that's exactly how much the financial ministers and their puppet master banksters want us to know, because we are all destined to become Greece and Ireland soon enough. After all the public has already forgotten how the Spanish opposition leader was calling on his country to follow Ireland a short three years ago or that today's Polish prime minister wanted his country to emulate the Irish model at the same time. Next on the list is Portugal. Again, meh, whatever, it's just Portugal. That's when things get interesting however, as next on the list will be Spain and that's when we learn that in addition to TBTF, Too Big To Fail, there is such a thing as TBTB, Too Big To Bail.

Unsurprisingly, the wolves are already circling, bond holders smelling fresh kill wasted no time in turning their attention to the next victim. Spain's sovereign bond spreads over German Bunds hit euro-era highs the day after markets were supposedly pacified by the Irish takeover. What a shock! Set to steepen Ireland's economic nosedive is the new round of austerity measures, a condition of the EU/IMF rescue package. Huh? But surely cutting €15 billion out of the economy should help, right? Nope. Just look at the negative market reaction, they noticed what the first round of austerity two years ago did to the country, when the Irish tightened their belt while the rest of the world opted for stimulus spending. Having already raised taxes and cut salaries for nurses, professors and other public workers by up to 20 percent last time, round two will see even deeper cuts, making one wonder just where economic growth needed to balance the books will ever come from. Just a taste of some of the demands to come from their new masters, as the IMF/EU have demonstrated in offering what they try to spin as advice, like cuts to health and the railway, in exchange for life sustaining installments of the Greek bailout.

It's easy enough to keep the public numb with an overload of information, caffeine, sugar and pornography for awhile, but will we all simply roll over and keep taking it? Chances are we will as the public has barely lifted a finger as governments on both sides of the Atlantic have bent over backward to make sure their banking buddies earn every penny on their wagers while the public has paid the price of their losses through bailouts paid for by doubling down on debt and 'austerity measures'. A debtcropper society is being created as the biggest transfer of wealth ever seen from the bottom up occurs while, like sheep to the slaughter, most continue to march in step to their banking masters. Political opportunists try to convince us that we should blame the euro or even the poor for the financial meltdown when it's clearly a corrupted system of risk and reward that is at fault. Our financial fairy tale has turned into a horror movie where a zombie population is manipulated into supporting zombie banks operating thanks to zombie governments of zombie nations. So should we take to the streets in protest? Write an angry letter to the editor? Write another blog post or better yet, start a Facebook protest page? Sit around waiting for a real life Tyler Durden? No, the only thing these people understand is money and the power it gives them, so the only way to limit their power is to take away their weapon, cash. December 7th I'll be in line to take my money out of the bank, hopefully joining thousands around Europe and maybe the world taking part in Pearl Harbor commemorations that will try to sink the banks instead of the Pacific fleet. Sparked by an interview given by former Manchester United footballer Eric Cantona, Bankrun2010 hopes to dent the money creation power of the world's most corrupt. The more who join in, the more likely they'll at least hear our voice. After all, thanks to the US Supreme Court, money is speech.

Monday, October 5, 2009

Do-Over!

Isn't life great when you've got the do-over? No matter what goes wrong, what mistake you make, how bad you lose the game, you can always just take a mulligan and tee off again. Unfortunately life doesn't work like that for most of us, but for the Treaty of Lisbon and the EU that's exactly what they did and they took full advantage, knocking they're second drive from the tee right down the middle of the fairway. Isn't it comforting to know that the EU has chosen to go the Zimbabwe route of dealing with election results they don't like.

What a difference 16 months makes. It took that long for the Irish to completely change their minds about the Treaty of Lisbon, a treaty designed to further integrate Europe. Then, 46.6% of Irish voted "Yes" and 53.4% "No"; Saturday, 67.1% of Irish voters approved it, while 32.9% voted "No" - that's more than 2 to 1 in favour. Just look at the swing in those numbers in only 16 months. That's more than just a few people who changed their minds on something a little more important than switching from Coke to Pepsi. Hmmm, I wonder what it could be that made so many voters flip-flop? Was it the fear that they would give away more of their national identities, ceding ever greater control to a more integrated Europe? Or lose the ability to set their own taxes, along with their antiabortion laws and the ability to remain militarily neutral while still retaining their seat on the European Commission? Well, Ireland was given "guarantees" that the treaty wouldn't affect any of these areas, but none have actually been attached to the treaty - just ask Angela Merkel if she thinks the EU will have a standing army. No, the fact is, in today's Ireland, these are all minor worries. The reason the 'Yes' side of the campaign were able to recruit the help of prominent businesses like Intel and Ryanair as well as celebrities such as U2 guitarist The Edge and the poet Seamus Heaney to their side is good old fashioned money.

Probably no country has benefited more economically from the EU than Ireland. Over the quarter of a century since Ireland joined what was then the European Community in 1973 they have witnessed an economic boom that has seen peat bogs and grazing pastures give way to gleaming semiconductor plants and suburbs full of McMansions. While much of the world still holds onto the image of rural Ireland, much of the population has traded in their Guinness pints for Starbucks paper cups (27 stores in Dublin alone!) and stories of the potato famine for talk of real estate prices. Oh, but how quickly things can change. One mighty world economic crisis and the economic miracle of the Celtic Tiger turned into a meltdown.

To be fair, Ireland did achieve financial success in a remarkably short time. In retrospect, it is easy to point out the policy errors that positioned her economy for a precipitous fall, but who wants to be the doomsayer in the middle of a party? Ireland slashed spending in areas such as health expenditures, education, agricultural spending, roads and housing, and the military, while abolishing agencies such as the National Social Services Board, the Health Education Bureau, and regional development organizations. By 1993, government non-interest spending declined to 41 percent of GNP, down from a high of 55 percent of GNP in 1985. Subsequently, it significantly lowered corporate tax rates to 12.5 percent, at a time when the lowest corporate rates in Europe were 30 percent and U.S. rates stood at 35 percent. Since 2004, Ireland also has offered a 20 percent tax credit on research and development. In short, as Paul Krugman put it, Ireland became "just like us (the US), only more so." At the height of the boom in 2006, Ireland was building more homes per head than anywhere else in the world. Why not? Over 10 years, property prices increased five-fold. The Heritage Foundation declared Ireland the third freest economy in the world, behind only Hong Kong and Singapore.

Of course, we all know how this story ends. An economy that had become so dependent on construction and banking was doomed to fall. At the time of the first vote, a soft landing at worst was still envisioned, but the bottom fell out. It is thought that the Irish economy will suffer the biggest contraction in the industrialized world since the Great Depression, "something in the order of about 12 or 15 percent". Much like the rest of the world, the Irish government found itself having to take responsibility for the mistakes of private bankers. Ireland again needed the EU as she offered government guarantees on bank liabilities that put tax payers on the hook for potential losses of more than twice the countries GDP, a figure that would be equivalent to $30 trillion for the United States. "Without the steadfast support of the European Central Bank, our financial system would have collapsed," said the finance minister, Brian Lenihan. Without the EU, Ireland would've became another Iceland as they are living well beyond their means, borrowing almost €400 million a week. The Irish voter quickly became repentant, and the 'Yes' vote was a transparent, "sorry sir, we'll fall back into line".

But what is this Treaty of Lisbon really? No one seems to know. MSM articles quickly gloss over it by saying it is aimed at "streamlining decision-making in the 27-nation bloc". Once France and the Netherlands shot down the EU constitution in spring of 2005, EU lawyers went right to work figuring out how to get around those pesky voters. Instead of replacing all earlier EU treaties constitution style, the Lisbon Treaty simply amends the Treaty on the European Union (Maastricht) and the Treaty Establishing the European Community (Rome). Additionally they dropped all references to EU symbols such as the flag, the anthem and the motto, even though in practice these things will continue to exist. Quirky laws allowed every other nation besides Ireland (whose supreme court ruled all major amendments to EU treaties needed referendums in 1987) to simply pass it with a simple parliamentary vote - yes the Irish got to vote twice, everyone else not at all. The Lisbon Treaty is simply a constitution in disguise. Was the treaty necessary to advance the European agenda? Yes. Without out it there would be no hope for growth beyond Croatia and Iceland. It will also make dealing with trans-national issues such as global warming and fixing the banking system far easier. Should we be as leery as many conservative conspiracy theorist loonies in the UK? Maybe. It's hard not to notice that the treaty's biggest external manifestation will be the creation of two new posts, an EU president (which horror of horrors will be the result of back room dealing, without any formal vote and is expected to go to Tony Blair) as well as a High Representative of Foreign Affairs. And of course something called the External Action Service for the EU, with embassies around the world. Hmm, sounds a bit like the makings of a body with real supranational powers.

Perhaps the real answer lies somewhere in between, however it still may be a moot point in the end. See, Poland and the Czech Republic have yet to ratify the treaty which needs the support of all 27 member states. While Poland's acceptance is a mere Lech Kaczynski signature away having already been passed by the Sejm, the Czechs may drag their feet a little longer. President Vaclav Klaus, a confirmed Eurosceptic has stated that he will not sign the treaty until his country's constitutional court pronounces on its validity. He loves that he's controlling the destiny of 500 million people. Making things more interesting is the situation in the UK where an election must be called by next May at the latest and David Cameron's Conservatives are well ahead in the polls, 17 points by last count. Cameron's party has promised to hold a referendum if elected and the treaty has not already been put into force and has therefore written a letter to the Czech president basically asking him to drag his feet for a few more months. Aaaah, isn't life great knowing we can just relax as our future's are being decided through backroom deals?

Friday, October 2, 2009

Rent Seeking Parasites

Editor's note: There is no editor. Much like Qaddafi's translator at the UN, the editor went mad halfway through and began screaming "I can't take it anymore!". Therefore, venturing forward into this stream of consciousness is a decision not to be taken lightly, continue at your own peril.
If your still determined to continue, just click here, move the pop-up aside, and read.

Imagine walking into a casino where you're always a winner. Every game is rigged in your favour, every dealer is not only your friend, but accomplice, and the pit bosses are all in your pocket. At first, you can't imagine your luck, so you pump a few quarters into the slots. With each pull your stake grows. Over at the blackjack table you make a couple of small bets and your cards keep adding to 21. Emboldened by your early success you walk over to the craps tables where you start to push your luck as the dice are hot. A crowd grows, the collective excitement of the screams, shouts and cheers pushes you on as if in a dream. Other players are drawn in, with piles of chips going onto the 'pass' line and the 'no pass' bar on each roll as everyone is getting into the action, betting with and against you - how do they both keep paying off? You must have been born lucky as you've wandered into no ordinary casino. Somehow you've won the lottery and wound up a big banker in today's America, a world onto it's own where thanks to the system you can't lose. All well and good for those fortunate few, but really, can it go on forever?

We're a year removed from what was nearly the biggest global financial meltdown ever, yet looking around it's hard to see any tangible proof that we're in a better position than we were then; I'd argue that things have, in fact, gotten worse. The heart of the problem lies in the Panglossian vision of the financial world that still reigns supreme despite the abyss that we stared into not so long ago. Instead of viewing the markets as a casino with risks and pitfalls that need to be controlled, we live in the best of all possible worlds where the efficient market theory asserts that financial markets always get asset prices right given the available information. Therefore the best thing corporate chieftains can do, not just for themselves but for the sake of the economy, is to maximize their stock prices. Problem is, this efficient market is far too heavily influenced by a few rent seekers (some would call them parasites, sucking the blood out of the organism while giving nothing in return, others, simply banksters). A feedback loop wherein increased wealth leads to increased influence leading to increased wealth... Eventually those in power become completely beholden to these few. Together, they have managed to dupe the entire world into believing in the market's omniscience. Witness the knee jerk reaction by large swaths of the population, many of whom are dirt poor, without health insurance, to any suggestion of trying to improve the lot of millions, as it would involve obstructing the 'free' market. In other words, finance economists believed that we should put the capital development of the nation in the hands of what Keynes had called a “casino”. What keeps the rest of us content is the illusion that we, too, will eventually be able to game the system, so long as the government doesn't interfere.

Yet interfering is exactly what the government has done over the past year, with little or no questioning of why we're supporting a broken system. To seriously question a system that promotes short term profits and corruption remains blasphemous. Fact is,
the capitalism we have is evil and it's threatening to devour itself along with the world. When a financial crisis hits most nations, investors run for the exits, the IMF swoops in, sweeps away the old banking regime and imposes usurious trading rules and financial regulation on the country. We've now seen what happens when a similar crisis hits the USA. A couple of scapegoats are allowed to fail (Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch...) while the friends of the ruling elite are saved by pumping tax payer money into them; trillions of dollars of wealth transferred from tax payers to wealthy bankers. Of course it was these bankers who made the ridiculous gambles seeking short term profits which allowed them to pay themselves huge salaries and bonuses. When the giant Ponzi scheme collapsed, no one was found responsible, worse yet, to question and regulate is seen as somehow "communist", and those guilty parties are allowed to continue on their merry way.

So, how did we get here? Historically, banking has been a risky industry having seen its share of spectacular crashes. Until the Great Depression, major crises struck about every 15 to 20 years – in 1792, 1797, 1819, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1893,
1907 and 1929-33. Then the crises stopped. The last two led directly to the creation of the Federal Reserve and the New Deal. A magical machine to manufacture money out of thin air along with financial regulation such as federal deposit insurance, the passage of the Glass-Steagall Act and the separation of commercial and investment banking created a stable environment without hindering growth which was also broad based as we saw either stable or falling income inequality. Unfortunately, the seeds of moral hazard were also planted. As depositors and investors no longer had to worry about the soundness of the banks, they would be attracted to riskier institutions and higher rates of return without the fear of downside risk, causing money to flow to weak banks rather than strong. Said one opponent in 1933, “A reputation for high character [in banking] would be cheapened and recklessness would be encouraged.” Fortunately, the authors of Glass-Steagall (and the follow-on Banking Act of 1935) prepared for this threat, authorizing not only public deposit insurance but also meaningful bank regulation, designed to ensure the safety and soundness of insured banks.

All was well for almost 50 years, creating wealth but also breeding arrogance. We began to forget the lessons of the past as memories of the Depression faded and economists fell back in love with the idealized vision of an economy in which rational individuals interact in perfect markets. We moved away from Keynes' vision of financial markets as a casino and replaced it with Eugene
Fama's efficient market theory in which financial markets price assets at precisely their intrinsic worth given all publicly available information. John Meynard Keynes didn't replace capitalism as many critics feared at the time, he simply fixed it. Unfortunately, the last half a century saw a revival of the neoclassical Adam Smith style belief in 'trust the market'. Your Milton Friedmans and Schumpeters of the world convinced us to start loosening the grip on the banksters. The hubristic faith in the market omniscience was embodied by Alan Greenspan, a man who believed the market could regulate itself on everything from fraud to derivative trading. At the same time the influence the banksters could exert on public policy was growing. Finance's success in the 80's coincided with the rise of the era of Washington lobbyists which lubricated the revolving door between Wall Street and government. Just looking at the myriad of connections between Goldman Sachs and political power is mind boggling. Henry Paulson, Dubya's last Treasury secretary and present secretary is a former Goldman CEO, Robert Rubin, Clinton's last Treasury secretary spent 26 years at Goldman before becoming chairman at Citigroup; John Thain, he of the $87,000 area rug for his office, spent time at Goldman before driving Merrill Lynch into the arms of Bank of America, Robert Steel, Mark Patterson, Ed Liddy, the heads of the Canadian and Italian central banks, the World Bank, the New York stock exchange, the last two heads of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York ... you get the picture. Somehow Wall Street was able to launch a successful takeover bid of the Beltway and could now dictate its terms. Regulation needed to be eliminated in order to allow finance to continue to grow; to achieve this, in the 10-year period beginning in 1998, financial companies spent $1.7 billion on federal campaign contributions and another $3.4 billion on lobbyists. In 1997 and 1998, the years leading up to the passage of Phil Gramm's fateful act that gutted Glass-Steagall, the banking, brokerage and insurance industries spent $350 million on political contributions and lobbying. Gramm alone — then the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee — collected $2.6 million in only five years.

"Human nature, in no form of it, could ever bear prosperity” - John Adams, as quoted by David Brooks in the NY Times a week ago and seven years ago - compare and contrast.

Culturally, America and her wannabes, the rest of the world, changed too. (Begin using old man voice) Back in the day, it was understood that you had to work hard to be successful. Today, that ethos has been lost as everyone and their uncle search for the next get rich scheme. Materialism has gone beyond acceptance and become the standard to which we strive. Both the public and private spheres have made their contributions as government
s sponsor lotteries, gambling which disproportionately hurts the poor while we are subjected to a 24/7 media which promotes an excessive lifestyle. The effects are plain to see; between 1950 and 1980 personal consumption was remarkably stable in the US, amounting to about 62 percent of GDP. In the next three decades, it shot upward, reaching 70 percent of GDP in 2008. During this period, debt exploded. In 1960, Americans’ personal debt amounted to about 55 percent of national income; by 2007, this figure had surged to 133 percent. By 2019 the federal government's debt will be 83% of GDP with yearly interest payments of $803 billion. By the end of the Bush presidency, one that saw over $1.3 trillion in tax cuts which mainly benefited the top 1% of earners, the poverty rate had risen to 13.2% while median household income had fallen to $50,303 from $51,295 ten years earlier, adjusted for inflation. Consumerism became more than just keeping up with the Jones', it became patriotic even while debt levels were driving risk to unsustainable levels. Yet, somehow through all this, the teabaggers and their ilk have saved their anger for a Socialist/Nazi/Communist/Alien plot to destroy the nation by trying to give health care to the masses. Immodesty has become as ubiquitous as advertising as self indulgence, self-love, self-advertisement, are not only accepted but celebrated. It would seem that Ayn Rand has truly won the day.

"When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done” - John Maynard Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money

Worse yet, the warning signs were all there. Since the age of deregulation we've seen Savings & Loan meltdown, the LTCM debacle, the Asian Crisis, yet we keep marching to the same drum beat. Accounting scandals, market manipulation and an internet bubble showed us how easy it is to be lured to the dark side, yet we keep dancing to the same song. Maybe it's because we've been hypnotized by the rhythm for so long we no longer have the power to stop the music. Finance and banking exist for one simple purpose, to efficiently allocate capital. So, what happens when all the capital, both human and monetary, is all tied up in finance? Profits of the financial industry as a percentage of total global profits were a mere 5% when Reagan sat in office in the early eighties; by the time of the crisis, that number had reached 30%. Wiz kids coming out of school no longer dream of working for NASA or becoming a doctor, lawyer or engineer; the holy grail is now finance, to come up with a
Gaussian copula function to evaluate or even eliminate risk. And why not, they're just behaving in a logical, capitalistic way, as pay in the financial sector has risen dramatically. From 1948 to 1982, average compensation ranged between 99 percent and 108 percent of the average for all domestic private industries. From 1983, it shot upward, reaching 181 percent in 2007. Works intended as cautionary tales of excess such as The Bonfire of the Vanities, Barbarians at the Gate and Wall Street, have served only to increase Wall Street's mystique. 10 years ago if you'd have been walking down the main drag of my home in Poznan, Poland, Swiety Marcin, you would've been able to stop at a variety of shops. Today, you can drop by a branch of some bank and walk by empty shops squeezed out by the higher rents brought on by their well-heeled neighbours. Speak to the majority of the brightest minds entering higher education and you'll learn that most dream of a career on Wall Street. And why wouldn't they? Even after the crash, the 30,000 employees of Goldman Sachs earn an average salary of $700,000. Eight major American and European banks will pay the 141,000 employees in their investment banking units $77 billion in 2011, about $543,000 per worker.

While the financial crisis may have been good for the planet, it wiped out a lot of wealth; US households alone saw their
net worth decline by $13 trillion. There was a time when bankers had to pay a price for their mistakes; if you ran a bank, and the bank couldn’t repay depositors or other creditors, those people had the right to confiscate all your personal assets and income until you repaid. Even the idea of 'double liability' in which stockholders were responsible for twice the original value of their shares in a bank existed until the age of the Fed in the US. Let's see a few examples of what happens today:

AIG. Patient Zero of the global economic meltdown, Joseph Cassano, head of AIGFP (400 employee London-based AIG Financial Product division). After bundling the crappiest mortgages they could find and slapping AAA ratings on them, banks needed someone to insure them. Enter Joseph and the Amazing Technicolor Credit Default Swaps, CDS. AIGFP's returns went from $737 million in 1999 to $3.2 billion in 2005. Over the past seven years, the subsidiary's 400 employees were paid a total of $3.5 billion; Cassano himself pocketed at least $280 million in compensation. Of course we know how this story ends, housing prices start falling, AIG's AAA credit rating begins to slide, triggering collateral calls and by February 2008, AIG is posting an $11.5 billion loss. What happens to Joseph? Burned at the stake? No, the company not only allowed Cassano to keep $34 million in bonuses, it kept him on as a consultant for $1 million a month. A short time later, it came out that AIG was planning to pay some $90 million in deferred compensation to former executives, and to accelerate the payout of $277 million in bonuses to others. When Congress balked, AIG canceled the $90 million in payments. Then, in January 2009 AIG decided to pay out another $450 million in bonuses. And to whom? To the 400 or so employees in Cassano's old unit, AIGFP, which is due to go out of business shortly! Yes, that's right, an average of $1.1 million in taxpayer-backed money apiece.

Two of the other main culprits in the financial meltdown, Fannie May and Freddie Mac,
have actually gotten bigger, and therefore more dangerous.

Merrill Lynch CEO Stanley O'Neal, a man who acknowledged his mistake in
overexposing his firm to subprime and thus causing its downfall walked away from the company with a severance package worth $162 million. Executives of the company had their $3.6 billion in bonus payments moved forward to December last year before the firm was taken over by Bank of America for fear of having them cancelled. Well, at least someone's trying to do something about it.

Five of the biggest US banks - Goldman, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Bank of America - posted second-quarter profits totaling $13 billion. That's more than double what they made in the second quarter of 2008 and nearly two-thirds as much as the $20.7 billion they earned in the second quarter of 2007, when the economy was strong. The main argument for the bank bailouts was that they were "too big to fail", yet the net result is banks that are now even bigger. The bailout enabled mergers and acquisitions have left those banks still standing in an even more dominating position. And what happens when 4 banks (Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase and Citi) issue one of every two mortgages and about two of every three credit cards? The top four banks raised fees related to deposits by an average of 8 percent in the last quarter.

Speaking of Bank of America,
take a look at this sweet deal they got.

In the UK, banks such as RBS, the Royal Bank of Scotland, behaved even more scandalously. Despite posting the largest loss in UK banking history a year ago, the former chief accused of bringing the bank to its knees, Sir Fred Goodwin, not only received a £2.7 million tax-free advance on his vast pension, he'll get £693,000-a-year as it's total worth is £16 million. I do suppose home security will be expensive for him. Well, they did say sorry, which I guess is why they figure it's OK to pay new boss Stephen Hester £9.6 million a year.

Barclay's got some of Lehman's US business, including its
glitzy Manhattan headquarters, for what many regard as a fire-sale price, $1.75 billion. Well, I guess you deserve a prize for remaining the
only major British-owned High Street bank to be fully independent from government capital.

Meanwhile, if you weren't best friends with the US Secretary of the Treasury, your bank may have gone out of business. Another 94 have closed their doors this year alone, while the number of 'problem' banks had risen to 416 by June 30th, up from 305 three months earlier. And guess what? The FDIC, those folks who are supposed to protect the consumer again the risk of bank default actually underestimated the risk of bank defaults. Yep, looks like they'll need a bailout soon too.

And
how about Goldman Sachs? The bank paid out an astonishing $4.7 billion in bonuses and compensation in the first three months of this year, an 18 percent increase over the first quarter of 2008. It also raised $5 billion by issuing new shares almost immediately after releasing its first quarter results. Taken together, the numbers show that Goldman essentially borrowed a $5 billion salary payout for its executives in the middle of the global economic crisis it helped cause, using half baked accounting to reel in investors, just months after receiving billions in a taxpayer bailout. And what did Goldman give back to the people of the United States in 2008? Fourteen million dollars, an effective tax rate of one percent. The bank paid out $10 billion in compensation and benefits that same year and made a profit of more than $2 billion, yet it paid the Treasury less than a third of what it forked over to CEO Lloyd Blankfein, who made $42.9 million last year.

The reality is that the worldwide economic meltdown and the bailout that followed were together a kind of revolution, a coup d'état. They cemented and formalized a political trend that has been snowballing for decades: the gradual takeover of the government by a small class of connected insiders, who used money to control elections, buy influence and systematically weaken financial regulations. Previously, a dozen or so big banks formed the top tier. Now Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase are clearly the strongest, with Morgan Stanley struggling to compete. Bank of America and Citigroup are the weakest big banks, heavily reliant on government guarantees to survive. The extensive government support that began after Lehman collapsed will lead investors to assume that governments will always prevent major banks from collapsing. The
Greenspan put has been replaced by the Bernanke put (a put is effectively a promise to buy an asset at a fixed price if you are unable to sell it to someone else at a higher price – this is a way to lock-in profits or limit losses on investments) so investors will continue to lend money to the financial industry on easy terms. In turn, financial institutions will use that cheap money to make risky loans and trades. The banks will keep the profits when their bets pay off, while taxpayers will swallow the losses when the bets go bad and threaten the system. Economists call the phenomenon moral hazard. Bankers have a different term: I.B.G. The phrase implies that by the time a deal goes sour, “I’ll be gone,” after I get my huge bonus.

Even when someone in a position of power raises the issue of whether parts of our financial system have become dysfunctional, s/he faces heavy criticism from all quarters.
Witness the reaction faced by the UK’s chief financial regulator, Adair Turner, when he suggested just that, and called for greater capital requirements at banks and pondered how it would be possible for regulators to preserve the valuable parts of our financial system while regulating to limit the harmful parts. For some reason it is a given that the rich deserve an advantage of say, 30 milliseconds. Or that it's a good thing that financial gurus are giving up bundling mortgages in favour of old and dying people's life insurance policies. Or that instead of betting on you to default on those mortgages, now there just making bets on nations defaulting on their sovereign debts, in index form, and not just Argentina. Wait, even better, remember all the slicing and dicing, with the tranches and other voodoo they did to turn those crappy mortgages into AAA securities? Well, apparently, with a little more alchemy and sharper knives, they can be re-rebundled in order to further lower bank capital requirements. Hooray, it's the re-remic!

But what's the problem you may ask.
Markets are up, nations are emerging from the recession, the financial industry is back to inventing new ways to make profits, all will be well in the world once again, maybe we do live in the best of all possible worlds. Wrong. Someone has to pay when the bubbles burst, and who has been paying the bill upfront for the taxpayer to this point? - China. And just as investment firms such as Goldman Sachs had insurers like AIG protecting their exposed behinds while they placed their bets on various financial derivatives, China is busy trying to hedge their bets on the US economy. After AIG wrote hundreds of billions of dollars of credit insurance and had no money to make good on its promises when the bonds defaulted, the US government was there, but who will be there when the US government can't find someone to buy their debt to pay the bills? So China is covering their bets by putting their money on themselves, with a little help from glittering gold. Realizing the world will not continue to support a fiat currency that can simply multiply itself at will to solve any problem and thereby reduce it's value (simple economics), China seems to be putting all the pieces into place to make themselves the world's store of wealth. Aaah, yes, competition. With nowhere else but US Treasuries to invest until now, the world has been forced to support the bubbles that America has chosen to create. September 28th saw an important volley in the coming financial war as 6 billion yuan worth of government bonds went on sale in Hong Kong. Taken together with the push for increased importance of the International Monetary Fund's Special Drawing Rights and lust for gold, it's clear they're looking for other avenues of investment. Any good investor knows that you have to limit your downside risk, and the financial industry's debt along with the increase it has caused in government debt pose significant systematic risk. While everyone moaned and groaned about the $700 billion TARP bailout, the real cost to the taxpayer is clouded by secretive operations with names no one has heard of such as Term Auction Facility, the Term Securities Lending Facility, the Primary Dealer Credit Facility, the Commercial Paper Funding Facility and a monster called the Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility, or how about something called a Money Market Investor Funding Facility, plus three facilities called Maiden Lane I, II and III. No one even knows where the bailout money has gone or how it's being paid, but the bottom line is a potential price tag of $23 trillion, yes trillion with a 't' for the US tax payer to pay for the mistakes of the financial industry and China knows that not even they can finance that. History is replete with examples of financial experts telling us that this time it's different, but if there is one common them to financial crises it is that excessive debt accumulation, whether it be by governnment, banks, corporations or consumers, often poses greater systemic risks than it seems [to do] during a boom.

No ideology can stand alone in the world. That would be a monopoly. Capitalism has stood unchallenged for 20 years now as an unchallenged monopoly (What do we really call
China's system these days?). Monopolies are cancerous to the capitalist system. The defeat of its only legitimate rival, communism, has brought about a situation that has slowly killed what capitalist, neo-cons and Reaganites dreamed of creating. Is that irony? Or some kind of meta-level parallel. I don't know, but it's become clear that the monster created by this untethered beast, the financial system, is ever closer to destroying the world that it's trying to control and there's no one trying to stop it. Back in 1907, they say that JP Morgan single handedly saved Wall Street guaranteeing tens of millions of dollars to keep the wheels of finance turning. Today, the people, through their governmental agent, the Fed are guaranteeing trillions due to the latest bubble, and I'm afraid the bubbles have to get bigger each time to keep the party going. Oh no, the G20 meeting might force new regulations onto the industry, not! More likely they would be encouraging instability in order to smooth the way for the FSB (the Financial Stability Board, not the new KGB). Oh no, President Obama is giving a speech to bankers about their responsibility to act prudently, well, what self-respecting banker would bother going to be lectured to? If you wonder why they don't need to listen, just ask yourself whose money put Obama in the White House. Then perhaps you may realize as Voltaire's Candide did, that Dr. Pangloss really is just wearing rose coloured glasses.